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There are very few people better qualified to offer a perspective on emerging markets than Mark Mobius who is about to retire after 30 years managing emerging markets portfolios at Franklin Templeton. His valedictory blog piece on the Seeking Alpha site last week makes for interesting reading.
Mobius makes many positive observations on the development of emerging markets in the time that that he has focused on them. He notes the change from
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commodity-driven economies to ones that are far more driven by innovation and technology and the expansion of the consumer and travel sectors afforded by the rise of the middle class. But perhaps the most important message from this developing country doyen is about the ability of these markets to rebound strongly from crises and upheavals. He provides the recent revival in Argentina and recovery in Nigeria as examples of such “bouncebackability”.
Mobius’ self-proclaimed “cynical optimism” when it comes to emerging markets very much reflects our view at EMIS. We share the view that developing countries are often a rollercoaster ride and may not be for those of a nervous disposition. But the future continues to be bright so long as governments continue to learn the lessons of the past.
Guy Dunn
P.S. Here are a few articles on economic developments in emerging markets from EMIS last week
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GHANA FORESEES GROWTH IN 2018 Ghana is highly tipped to economically outperform other counterparts in sub-Saharan Africa this year and grow at 8.3 percent, buoyed by oil & gas expansion.
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CZECH REPUBLIC TRANSPORTATION SECTOR 2017/2018
The transportation and storage sector is one of the important service sectors in the Czech Republic. The sector’s gross value added (GVA) reached CZK 242bn in 2016, accounting for 5.6% of total GVA and 9.3% of GVA from services. The transportation and storage sector’s share of total GVA declined compared with 5.8% in 2011 due to the economic downturn and the European debt crisis.
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CEIC DATA POINT OF THE WEEK
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CEIC Data is a sister company of EMIS and part of the Euromoney Data Division
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GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTPUT EXPANDED SHARPLY IN DECEMBER The Global PMI data signalled that global economic output continued to expand sharply in December. In the last month of 2017 the seasonally adjusted index increased for a third consecutive period reaching 54.4 as output rose at the fastest pace since March 2015.
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Below are the most read articles in the past week on EMIS Perspectives, our daily blog of emerging market news and insights.
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CHINA REPORTS 7.9% INCREASE IN 2017 FDI INFLOWS Foreign Direct Investment into China increased by 7.9% year-on-year to 877.56 billion yuan ($136.36 billion) in 2017 as a result of the country’s continued efforts to improve the business environment for foreign investors.
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FDI IN COLOMBIA JUMPS 37% Y/Y IN DECEMBER Inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) surged 37% year-on-year to USD 1.2bn in December, CEEMarketWatch reported citing figures released by the local central bank Banco de la Republica.
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POLISH PGZ TO JOIN OCEAN 2020 PROGRAMME Poland’s defence group PGZ has decided to join the programme for construction of unmanned platforms for reconnaissance and surveillance of marine basins known as OCEAN 2020.
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ABOUT EMIS EMIS operates in and reports on countries where high reward goes hand-in-hand with high risk. We bring you time-sensitive, hard-to-get, relevant news, research and analytical data, peer comparisons and more for over 120 emerging markets.
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EMIS CHARTING TOOL EMIS CHARTS uses selected data points from the subscription-based EMIS service, to provide you with an interactive overview of sectors, key players and macroeconomic trends across 120+ emerging markets and allows you to create your own charts.
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