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5 - 11 December 2015

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From the CEO OF EMIS



With most analysts predicting a rise in US interest rates this month, there has been much discussion on the likely impact on emerging markets. Many reports have focused on the negative effects of a rate rise on developing economies: capital outflow, increased debt service costs and currency depreciation. But a rate hike also signals that the US economy is in relatively good shape and that should be good news for countries hoping for export growth, particularly those that have suffered from China’s slowdown.

As usual with emerging markets, the picture is mixed. Some countries are particularly vulnerable to a rise in US rates, notably those with large borrowing requirements while others will be more resilient due to stronger macroeconomic foundations.

Here are a few articles published on EMIS in the last week relating to this issue. Let me know your views on the likely fallout from a US rate rise.

Best wishes,
Guy Dunn
Chief Executive Officer


TURKEY

CASH EXIT FROM EMERGING MARKETS POSSIBLE – TURKISH DEPUTY PREMIER

The Turkish Deputy Prime Minister has warned some 300 billion dollar non-reserve cash may exit from emerging markets.

READ MORE  
INDIA

US FEDERAL RESERVE RATE RAISE LEAVES INDIA UNCERTAIN

The financial markets will see some volatility over the next few weeks as the Fed looks set to hike the policy rate.

READ MORE  
MEXICO

MEXICO'S EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY

The exchange rate will remain volatile during the coming weeks, as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement comes closer.

READ MORE  

EMIS Insights and reports

Here are two of our own exclusive industry insights from EMIS' team of highly experienced, locally-based analysts. EMIS Insights deliver the most relevant industry news, data and research from over 25 sectors in 21 countries.


MEXICO TRANSPORTATION: PAVED WITH GOOD INTENTIONS

Although road is the main transport mode in Mexico, accounting for over 55% of cargo and 96% of passenger movement in 2014, only 40% of the country’s road network is paved.




Read more

CHINA INFRASTRUCTURE: ALL ROADS LEAD TO CHINA

The infrastructure construction sector has sustained a rapid rate growth as the government is turning back to infrastructure investments.




Read more
Infographic of the week

Romania has topped the economic growth compared to other EU companies this week. You can see how the other countries fared in the infographic below. Success was sweet for many, but decreases were also registered by Greece (-0.9 percent), Estonia (-0.5 percent), Finland (-0.5 percent) and Denmark (-0.1 percent).




Click to view it full screen

Weekly News summary

Below are the most read articles in the past week on EMIS Perspectives, our daily blog of emerging market news and insights.

2-WHEELED VEHICLES SCOOT UP IN DEMAND

The Philippines is the only SEA market to register growth in the motorcycle and scooter market, possibly also reflecting its nagging public transportation problems.





Read more…
CHINA TO ENCOURAGE INNOVATION THROUGH CROWDFUNDING

Premier Li Keqiang said: “New ideas like crowdsourcing and crowdfunding will be promoted to bring more social forces into play” .




Read more…
BARGAIN-PRICED CONDOS ON THE RISE

A growing number of investors who are uneasy about the the country’s economic slowdown have started disposing of their properties.




Read more…
A GLOOMY FORECAST FOR BRAZIL IN 2016

Economists were expecting a 1.3% decline in the Brazilian economy, but a contraction of 1.7% in Q3 has triggered a change in a series of GDP forecast for 2015 and 2016.

 



Read more…
FIAT TO INVEST UP TO $700MN IN CORDOBA

President of Fiat Chrysler Argentina, has announced investments of USD 650mn – USD 700mn to develop a new model at the plant in Ferreyra, Cordoba.





Read more…
ARGENTINA AND US TREASURY SECRETARY HAVE "PRODUCTIVE TALKS"

Prat-Gray, one of the new members of the six-man strong economic team Macri has elected, spoke with Jack Lew by phone on Friday. 




Read more…
TURKEY TO REDUCE LPG IMPORTS FROM RUSSIA 25% IN 2016

Turkey is set to reduce next year the imports of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) from Russia by 25% due to recent political tensions between the two countries.




Read more…
PGNIG DRILLS FOR GAS IN GERMANY

According to an agreement signed between PGNiG and CEP in August 2015, the Poland’s oil and gas group has started drilling in Eastern Germany.





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TURKISH ECONOMY SHOWS MODERATE SIGNS OF GROWTH

The committee has shown confidence in the continuing growth of the economy, based on exports and domestic demand. However, interest rates will be held at the current high rate.




Read more…
STATE COMPANIES FOR SALE

The Kenyan government is planning to sell 51% stake in 5 state-owned sugar companies to strategic investors. Another 24% will be offered to farmers as well as employees.





Read more…

TANZANIA TO BECOME ENERGY EXPORTER

Symbion Power LLC, seeks a partner to build 600 MW gas-powered plant in Mtwara, which will boost Tanzania’s electricity export to a number of neighbouring countries.





Read more…

BUSINESS RELATIONS BETWEEN SOUTH AFRICA AND CHINA AT THEIR PEEK

South Africa and China signed 26 deals worth ZAR 94 billion (USD 6.6 billion), boosting the business relations between the two countries in key industries.




Read more…

About EMIS

EMIS is designed specifically to provide organizations with the information they need to succeed in emerging markets through a unique combination of company, industry and country intelligence.

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