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December is the month for predictions. Based on the events of this year, forecasting what is likely to come to pass in 2017 would appear to be a fools’ errand. So I’ve decided to take a slightly more light-hearted stab at suggesting what might happen next year. Below are my predictions for the first six months of 2017. If you want to see the list for the whole year, I have published an article where you can also weigh in with your own forecasts.
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January 2017 - Donald Trump is inaugurated as the 45th President of the United States of America. In his inauguration tweet, President Trump promises to make up for America being late to join the last two World Wars by being really early for the next one.
February 2017 - In an attempt to rehabilitate his country’s ailing reputation, Russian President Vladimir Putin announces the launch of the Diversity Games for the LGBT community. Doping is to be mandatory.
March 2017 - British Prime Minister Theresa May triggers Article 50, which formally begin Brexit negotiations. Fearful of the impact on its economy, the City of London declares independence from the UK.
April 2017 -Spotting a well-trodden path to the highest office in the land, Hillary Clinton becomes the first female host of The Apprentice. Meanwhile, First Lady Melania Trump follows Michelle Obama in ruling herself out as the first black and female Democratic candidate at the next US presidential elections.
May 2017 - The French presidential election takes place. In a stunning upset, the far-right, populist candidate is not elected.
June 2017 - Alarmed by the growing number of migrants and refugees pouring through its southern border, Canada commits to building a wall and getting the US to pay for it.
Guy Dunn
P.S. Here are some 2017 predictions I came across on EMIS last week.
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SAXO BANK'S PREDICTIONS FOR 2017
Saxo Bank, the specialist in complex online trading and investments, has published its annual set of 'Outrageous Predictions' for the coming year.
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In spite of being the largest electric power producer in ASEAN countries, in 2015 the country had an electrification rate of 88.3%, which lagged behind other countries in the region such as Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand. The government targets a 99.4% electrification rate by 2024.
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Below are the most read articles in the past week on EMIS Perspectives, our daily blog of emerging market news and insights.
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BOMBAY DYEING CLOSES FACTORY DOORS
After 137 years of manufacturing quality textile products, Bombay Dyeing & Manufacturing Company has officially announced it will no longer be in manufacturing, but will focus solely on retailing.
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ARROYO WEIGHS IN ON PH DEATH PENALTY
Although she is allied with President Duterte, former Philippine president and current Deputy Speaker Gloria Arroyo is firm on her stand on the death penalty, which was abolished in 2006, during her presidency.
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FDI TO KYRGYZSTAN DOWN 16.6% TO $535 MN JAN-SEPT
Foreign direct investments (FDI) to Kyrgyzstan fell 16.6% in the year to $535.3 million in the first nine months of this year, News of Central Asia reported on Monday citing figures by the National Statistical Committee.
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CEMENT DEMAND IN BRAZIL TO DROP MORE THAN 6% IN 2017 – SNIC
The cement demand in Brazil is expected to drop by more than 6% next year, as the country’s ongoing economic crisis impacts the local construction sector, Valor Economico International reported on Monday citing an estimate by trade group SNIC.
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RETAILER DINO EYES POLAND’S LARGEST IPO IN 2017
Polish supermarket chain Dino plans to float its shares in the first half of next year what it expects to be the largest Initial Public Offering (IPO) on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in 2017, Polish News Bulletin reported.
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TURKISH ARMS MANUFACT-URERS INCREASE SALES 10% IN 2015
Turkey’s two top arms manufacturers increased their sales 10.2% in 2015 on strong domestic demand and improving exports, newswire Anadolu Agency reported citing a market research by The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).
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NIGERIA, MOROCCO EYE REGIONAL GAS PIPELINE
Nigeria and Morocco have signed a joint venture agreement to build a gas pipeline, which will connect the two nations, as well as some other west African countries and Europe, Petroleum Bazaar – PetroMag reported.
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ABOUT EMIS
EMIS operates in and reports on countries where high reward goes hand-in-hand with high risk. We bring you time-sensitive, hard-to-get, relevant news, research and analytical data, peer comparisons and more for over 120 emerging markets.
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EMIS CHARTING TOOL
EMIS CHARTS uses selected data points from the subscription-based EMIS service, to provide you with an interactive overview of sectors, key players and macroeconomic trends across 120+ emerging markets and allows you to create your own charts.
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