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19 - 25 March 2016

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From the CEO OF EMIS

President Barack Obama’s historic visit to Cuba last week was another milestone in the opening up of a pivotal new market in Latin America. But the symbolic significance of this event for the Latin American region as a whole is probably greater than any immediate benefits for the Cuban people or foreign businesses looking for opportunities there. After all, from a business perspective Cuba is a relatively small country and major restrictions remain in place for foreign investment. It is also likely to take some time for the benefits of this economic

thawing to be felt by the Cuban population.

The greater significance lies in the positive effect that this rapprochement is likely to have on the relationship of other Latin American countries with the United States. The US’ isolationist policy towards Cuba has been viewed poorly for a considerable time by other countries in the region. President Obama’s abandonment of this divisive policy should remove another barrier to US/Latin American trade and political engagement. Indeed, the next stop-off for the president was Argentina where attitudes to the US and other Western partners are improving and creating the basis for economic growth. Not for the first time, it looks like Cuba’s importance on the world stage is belying its size.


Best wishes,

Guy Dunn
Chief Executive Officer

EMIS Insights and reports

Here are two of our own exclusive industry insights from EMIS' team of highly experienced, locally-based analysts. EMIS Insights deliver the most relevant industry news, data and research from over 25 sectors in 21 countries.


MENA FOOD AND BEVERAGE SECTOR: OPPORTUNITIES NEVER RUN DRY

With domestic food production being limited, and rapidly increasing demand, the region is facing serious food security concerns as it is heavily dependent on food imports.




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HUNGARY METAL PROCESSING: WHILE THE IRON IS HOT

The value-added of Hungary's metal processing sector is expected to rise by 8% in 2016 as a result of major investments in foundries.




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Infographic of the week


The headwinds of 2015 gave the emerging markets a considerable hammering and it would appear 2016 may not be very different, creating a problem generating positive returns for investors, evidenced by the performance of benchmark MSCI EM and JPM EM (Global Diversified) stock and government bond indices. When we put the topic to our survey participants most had expected returns to have suffered in 2015 but not to the extent that they did.


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Weekly News summary

Below are the most read articles in the past week on EMIS Perspectives, our daily blog of emerging market news and insights.

ARMENIA DIRECTS 80% OF ITS IT EXPORTS TO US AND CANADA

Armenia’s exports of IT products reached $214.4 million last year and the largest part of them, 79.5%, went to the US and Canada.




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NK THREATENS TO WAGE “RETALIATORY WAR” AGAINST PARK

North Korea continues to show its defiance after stricter U.N. sanctions were recently imposed, threatening to act in retaliation.




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PH’S TURQUOISE TRIANGLE IN SPOTLIGHT FOR CRUISE TOURISM

As the Department of Tourism (DOT) looks to prepare the country for a more expansive cruise tourism, it has unveiled its plans on regulatory services.




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US PRESIDENT ON HISTORIC VISIT TO CUBA

The US president Barack Obama landed in Cuba on Sunday in a historic visit seen as the culmination of a diplomatic opening between the former Cold War enemies.





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COFFEE CAPSULES SALES IN BRAZIL RECORDED A 35% HIKE IN 2015

Brazilian Coffee Industry Association (ABIC) revealed that the sales of coffee in capsules in the country soared by nearly 35% over the past year.




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CANADIAN FERMACA IN $372.5MN DEAL IN MEXICO

Mexican state-owned utility CFE has granted a 25-year contract to Fermaca Pipeline La Laguna to build and operate the 600km La Laguna-Aguascalientes gas pipeline.



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RUSSIA SET TO BOOST GRAIN EXPORTS TO JORDAN

Russia is set to boost its grain exports to Jordan, newswire Prime reported on Wednesday citing Agriculture Minister Alexander Tkachyov.




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EU TO SEND REFUGEES TO TURKEY

As of Sunday, refugees and asylum seekers who are trying to get to Europe on irregular and unsafe sea routes via Greece will be sent to Turkey.




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RUSSIAN LUKOIL RAS NET PROFIT DROPS 18.7% IN 2015

Russian oil producer Lukoil reported a net profit of 302.294 billion rubles for 2015, down 18.7% on the year, according to Russian Accounting Standards.



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SAUDI ARABIA TO INVEST US$ 1.5 BN IN EGYPT’S SINAI PENINSULA

Saudi Arabia is ready to financially support projects in Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula with up to US$ 1.5 bn.The Kingdom confirmed its plans to invest US$ 8 bn in its North African ally.



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AABAR INVESTMENTS SECURES US$ 4 BN LOAN

Abu Dhabi’s state-run Aabar Investments will receive a 5-year loan of US$ 4 bn to re-finance some of the fund’s existing debts.





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GAZPROM NEFT SET FOOT IN KURDISH IRAQ

Russia’s oil giant Gazprom Neft starts drilling in the Kurdish North of Iraq, taking control over the Sarqala field, which has been so far managed by WesternZagros Resources Ltd.





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About EMIS

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