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23 October 2017
FROM THE CEO OF EMIS
President Xi Jinping’s three and a half hour address to the Chinese Communist Party Congress in Beijing garnered quite a bit of press attention last week. The length of his speech was much remarked upon, perhaps because of the clear contrast with the preference for 140 characters of his counterpart in Washington. But it was the substance of the speech that made most commentators sit up and take notice.

President Xi took the opportunity to outline an ambitious and aggressive future path for China both in terms of its domestic
economic progress and the part it intends to play in the wider world. This was quickly framed, somewhat awkwardly, as “Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era” and was clearly aimed at further establishing the president’s authority over his party and country.

The plan laid out in the speech reaffirmed what I have been talking about for a while – China’s resolve to participate in the big global issues that will shape the world in the next 50 years. Sensing a void left by shifts in US policy, China has already shown signs of wanting to take the lead in environmental and global trade issues. It is clear also that China will no longer be prepared to be a bystander in geopolitical disputes, particularly those within its region.

There continue to be serious questions about the Chinese government’s attitude towards human rights and the images coming out of the Beijing Congress do little to change the country’s authoritarian image. But the message from President Xi is clear, China can no longer be considered as just an economic story. Its influence is likely to extend far beyond trade in the future.


Guy Dunn


P.S. Here are some articles I found on EMIS last week on President Xi’s speech

XI JINPING LAYS OUT VISION FOR A STRONGER CHINA
At the opening of a top level political meeting Wednesday, Chinese President Xi Jinping gave a sober assessment of the challenges facing the world's second largest economy and its ruling Communist Party.
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PRESIDENT XI JINPING CONSOLIDATES POWER THROUGH MILITARY REFORM
The Chinese military will embark on a massive hardware upgrade and top personnel shake-up under President Xi Jinping's orders for the PLA to become a world-class fighting force in the next three decades.
   Read more   
XI POISED TO RESHAPE CHINA
A man who once seemed shrouded in mystery has made his worldview clear: Xi has embraced a strongman style of personal rule rather than being content with first-among-equals leadership.
   Read more   
INFOGRAPHIC OF THE WEEK
POLAND RETAIL SECTOR REPORT 2017/2018

Poland's retail sector is well-developed and has provided a good springboard not only for its representatives, but also for the economy as a whole, as it cushioned the slowdowns in the last two economic cycles. 


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CEIC DATA POINT OF THE WEEK
CEIC Data is a sister company of EMIS and part of the Euromoney Data Division
CHINA’S REAL GDP ROSE 6.8% IN Q3
China’s 3Q2017 GDP rose 6.8% y-o-y, on par with market consensus. From a year-to-date (YTD) perspective, GDP has expanded at a very stable pace of 6.9% y-o-y. 

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WEEKLY NEWS SUMMARY
Below are the most read articles in the past week on EMIS Perspectives, our daily blog of emerging market news and insights.
    ASIA    
SOME 600 FOREIGN COMPANIES PLAN TO INVEST $85 BILLION IN INDIA
Invest India, the government's foreign investment promotion agency, is planning to actively promote the country as an investment destination and came up with a list of 200 companies not present in India that it wants to target.
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INDIA SET TO RECEIVE $1 BILLION FROM THE ABU DHABI INVESTMENT AUTHORITY
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) has signed an investment agreement worth $1billion with India’s National Investment and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF).

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LAOS EXPORTS TO CAMBODIA INCREASED BY 59.7% IN THE FIRST HALF OF 2017
Laos’s total value of exports to Cambodia has increased by 59.7% year-on-year to $11.8 million in the first half of 2017, fuelled by the strong demand for vehicle parts, coffee beans and electricity in Cambodia. 
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              LATIN AMERICA              
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY IN CHILE DOWN 4.1% Y/Y IN AUGUST
Construction activity in Chile decreased 4.1% year-on-year in August, CEEMarketWatch reported citing figures released by the local Construction Chamber (CChC). 

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MEXICO AND CANADA REJECT US NAFTA DEMANDS DURING THE LATEST ROUND OF TALKS
The latest round of NAFTA’s renegotiations closed with little sign of agreement after Mexico and Canada rejected US proposals, CEEMarketWatch reported. 

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B2W AIMS TO NEW SEGMENTS AS AMAZON ARRIVES TO ELECTRONICS SECTOR IN BRAZIL
Following Amazon´s announcement of entering Brazilian’s electronics market, domestic´s largest e-commerce company B2W decided to advance with new measures to level with the e-commerce worldwide giants.

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     EMERGING EUROPE     
POLAND GIVES UP USD 9.2BN IMF CREDIT LINE
Poland has decided to quit from a USD 9.2bn Flexible Credit Line (FCL) it has with the IMF, PNB reported referring to Polish Deputy PM Mateusz Morawiecki who was in the US for the autumn session of the IMF. 

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POLAND'S GRAIN EXPORTS RISES 19% IN 2016/2017 SEASON
Poland’s grain exports have reached 6.4mn tonnes between July 2016 and June 2017, which is a 19% increase on 2015/2016 season, Poland AM reported. 

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EBRD, IFC AGREE TO FUND SERBIA'S LARGEST WIND FARM
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) and International Finance Corporation (IFC) have agreed to provide EUR 215mn loans to fund the project to construct Serbia's largest wind farm near Belgrade.

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          MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA          
ROSNEFT TO EXPLORE FOR OIL IN IRAQI KURDISTAN
Russian oil major Rosneft has signed an agreement with the government of the Iraqi Kurdistan to explore for oil in the region, Prime reported citing Rosneft statement.

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GHANA, IVORY COAST INK STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP DEAL
The presidents of Ghana and Ivory Coast, Nana Akufo-Addo and Alassane Ouattara have this week signed a strategic cooperation agreement between the two countries.

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BAHRAIN STRIKES USD 3.8BN DEAL TO BUY 16 UPGRADED F-16 AIRCRAFT
Bahrain Defence Force (BDF) has reached a USD 3.8bn deal with Lockheed Martin to buy 16 upgraded F-16 fighter jets, Gulf News reported.

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