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At the time of writing, Iraqi Kurds are expected to vote in favour of independence for their previously semi-autonomous region. The prospect has caused widespread concern within the region and beyond that the decision will result in further destabilisation in an area of the world that could do without any more upheaval at this time.
Most of the international opposition to the vote is founded in the fear that it will undermine the increasingly successful push to eradicate Islamic State in which Kurdish forces have
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been so instrumental. The concern for countries like Turkey and Iran is that an independence vote will embolden Kurdish populations within their own borders who are also eager to establish autonomy.
From the Kurdish perspective, there is the strong sense that they have earned this moment through their fight against IS and that promises of a negotiated path to independence may not materialise once that battle is over.
A vote for independence in itself may only be symbolic as it will not be recognized as legitimate by either Iraq or the wider international community. But it is likely to be a first major step on a path to an independent Kurdistan that has been delayed and denied on many occasions in the past hundred years.
Guy Dunn
P.S. Here are some articles I found on EMIS last week relating to this issue.
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KURDISTAN'S REFERENDUM:NEXT STEPS The recent call for an independence referendum among Kurds has, unsurprisingly, triggered conflict between supporters for and opponents to independence.
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RUSSIA RETAIL SECTOR REPORT 2017/2018
Russia is the ninth most populous country in the world and is among the largest consumer markets on a global scale. It is a commodity dependent economy as trade contributes about 20% to the country’s GDP. In recent years the retail sector in Russia is going through many difficulties.
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CEIC DATA POINT OF THE WEEK
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CEIC Data is a sister company of EMIS and part of the Euromoney Data Division
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CHINA’S EXPORTS DECELERATED IN AUGUST China’s foreign trade rallied significantly in Q1 2017 thanks to recovered demand from home and abroad. However, an obvious deviation was identified in August trade data.
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Below are the most read articles in the past week on EMIS Perspectives, our daily blog of emerging market news and insights.
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2017 TO BE HISTORICAL YEAR FOR BRAZIL IPO Brazilian Airliner Azul was the most recent company to attract many investors for its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For a BRL1.1bn offering there was a demand for four times more.
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ABOUT EMIS EMIS operates in and reports on countries where high reward goes hand-in-hand with high risk. We bring you time-sensitive, hard-to-get, relevant news, research and analytical data, peer comparisons and more for over 120 emerging markets.
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